Everyone in the world has NCAA Tournament predictions swirling around today, but you won't find March Madness picks with more statistical backing than Nate Silver at the New York Times, who uses a complex algorithm to predict the winners of each game, and gives us a Kansas-Ohio State title game, with the Buckeyes walking away as champions. The depth of Silver's probabilities are great, and you'd be hard pressed to find anyone in the statistical community with a better pedigree in predictive analysis, but there's no algorithm to render chaos coherent. Silver's formula gives us a Final Four with all four no. 1 seeds, and an Elite Eight with all but one no. 2 seed advancing. How many hours did it take to pick every favorite to win every game? Because that's usually what my mom does, and she could have done it in five minutes.
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